Quality Services.

August 21 2025

After sliding back in June, existing-home sales picked up in July. The latest update, released August 21, shows a modest rebound. Sales rose 2.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.01 million are now 0.8% higher than a year ago. As has been and continues to be the case, zooming out on the same chart puts things in the most accurate perspective for the home resale market. Sales levels have hovered near 75% of pre-pandemic norms for three years now. NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted that slightly better affordability and stronger wage growth are giving sales a lift, with buyers also benefiting from more choices in the market. He added that many areas are seeing near-flat price growth, with some regions experiencing outright price declines. Even so, homeowners remain in a strong position, with a cumulative 49% increase in typical home values since mid-2019. Distressed sales remain at historic lows, and inventory has climbed to its highest level since May 2020, offering buyers their best negotiating position in years. Regional Breakdown (Sales and Prices, July 2025) Region Sales (annual rate) MoM Change Median Price YoY Change Northeast 500k +8.7% $509,300 +0.8% Midwest 940k -1.1% $333,800 +3.9% South 1.805m +2.2% $367,400 -0.6% West 720k +1.4% $620,700 -1.4%

August 20 2025

Mortgage application activity eased last week, but not in a statistically significant way.  One might be inclined to note a very slight uptick in mortgage rates, but it's just as fair to say that rates held steady near longer-term lows.  The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey showed a 1.4% decline in the seasonally adjusted Composite Index for the week ending August 15, 2025. “Mortgage rates increased slightly last week, with the 30-year fixed rate now at 6.68 percent,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. VA applications fell 16%, while FHA refinance applications increased as FHA rates remained comparatively competitive. The Refinance Index decreased 3% week-over-week but remains about 23% higher than the same week a year ago. The Purchase Index was essentially flat (+0.1% seasonally adjusted) and is running about 23% ahead of last year’s level. The refinance share of total mortgage applications slipped to 46.1%. ARM share decreased to 8.6%. FHA share rose to 19.1%, while VA share declined to 13.4%. Mortgage Rate Summary: 30yr Fixed: 6.68% (from 6.67%) | Points: 0.60 (down from 0.64) 15yr Fixed: 5.96% (from 5.93%) | Points: 0.70 (up from 0.63) Jumbo 30yr: 6.64% (from 6.70%) | Points: 0.60 (up from 0.56) FHA: 6.39% (from 6.40%) | Points: 0.66 (down from 0.77) 5/1 ARM: 6.01% (from 5.80%) | Points: 0.63 (down from 0.67)

August 19 2025

Builder sentiment remains deeply subdued, as the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and Wells Fargo’s Housing Market Index (HMI) dipped one point in August to 32—its 16th straight month below the key 50 mark, and matching the lowest level since December 2022. Current sales conditions fell one point to 35 Sales expectations for the next 6 months remained steady at 43 Buyer traffic ticked up two points to 22 High mortgage rates (hovering around 6.58%), elevated new-home prices, and affordability pressures continue to weigh heavily on builder sentiment. In August, 37% of builders reported price cuts averaging 5%, while 66% offered sales incentives—the highest share seen in the post-COVID era. Affordability and demand remain persistent challenges, and despite slight improvements in buyer traffic, the overall outlook remains weak. Builders are leaning more on incentives than confidence to attract buyers. Regionally, confidence was weakest in the West, where affordability pressures are most acute and sentiment fell to its lowest since late 2022. The South also declined but continues to hover near the national average, while the Midwest held steadier and the Northeast was little changed. The divergence highlights that high-cost markets are bearing the brunt of buyer hesitation, while lower-cost regions remain relatively more resilient.